Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002597 0.002767 0.002950 0.003163 0.003405 0.003675 0.004000
2025-01-19 0.002339 0.002571 0.002835 0.003163 0.003567 0.004058 0.004718
2025-01-26 0.002063 0.002306 0.002592 0.002962 0.003440 0.004057 0.004952
2025-02-02 0.001956 0.002224 0.002549 0.002987 0.003583 0.004404 0.005710
2025-02-09 0.001900 0.002194 0.002562 0.003076 0.003814 0.004906 0.006840
2025-02-16 0.001826 0.002131 0.002524 0.003089 0.003934 0.005263 0.007855
2025-02-23 0.001796 0.002123 0.002554 0.003196 0.004205 0.005914 0.009727
2025-03-02 0.001719 0.002047 0.002484 0.003150 0.004226 0.006138 0.010813
2025-03-09 0.001640 0.001962 0.002397 0.003068 0.004177 0.006218 0.011593
2025-03-16 0.001613 0.001947 0.002405 0.003130 0.004377 0.006832 0.014374
2025-03-23 0.001585 0.001928 0.002406 0.003181 0.004564 0.007476 0.018130
2025-03-30 0.001536 0.001877 0.002356 0.003145 0.004584 0.007747 0.020870
2025-04-06 0.001469 0.001799 0.002268 0.003046 0.004488 0.007752 0.022628
2025-04-13 0.001429 0.001760 0.002235 0.003038 0.004570 0.008249 0.029012
2025-04-20 0.001347 0.001657 0.002101 0.002848 0.004266 0.007630 0.025731
2025-04-27 0.001322 0.001636 0.002091 0.002870 0.004399 0.008274 0.035953
2025-05-04 0.001313 0.001637 0.002115 0.002953 0.004672 0.009481 0.071608
2025-05-11 0.001289 0.001615 0.002100 0.002965 0.004793 0.010278 0.156042
2025-05-18 0.001285 0.001621 0.002131 0.003064 0.005134 0.012177 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001252 0.001584 0.002088 0.003021 0.005125 0.012613 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001214 0.001538 0.002031 0.002945 0.005023 0.012566 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001205 0.001534 0.002042 0.003003 0.005274 0.014537 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001194 0.001527 0.002048 0.003050 0.005509 0.016825 NaN